School of Engineering, Lancaster University +44 (0)1524 593700

Making renewable power systems watch over themselves

Monitor, Detect and anticipate, and Respond

We develop data-driven machine learning methods that combine wind turbines' operating data with physics-based constraints to detect and diagnose faults early, predict failures, and make informed decisions about how turbines should operate.

Our research

Wind turbines operate for decades in turbulent wind, ice and salt spray. Component degradation develops over weeks to months before it ends in a sudden, costly stoppage, often offshore or on a remote ridge where repairs need cranes, vessels and weather windows. Every turbine already records its own behaviour through SCADA. The open question is how to turn that record into early, trustworthy and actionable knowledge.

Our aim is condition monitoring that explains why a turbine behaves as it does, predicts what happens next, and evaluates what would happen if it were operated differently.
  • Quantum machine learning for energy and power systems
  • Early, unsupervised fault detection from routine operating data
  • Component-level diagnosis and root-cause tracing grounded in turbine physics
  • Calibrated failure probabilities and remaining useful life
  • Action-conditioned world models that support operating decisions

Learn more

Key Results

By project, on real SCADA data from operational wind farms
Project 1 · Quantum ML · QLSTM-Transformer

Anomaly Detection

Results
123.8 hwarning before shutdown
gearbox bearing, no false alarms
0.979normal-behaviour R²
pitch system
7.67 hearlier than LSTM
QLSTM, ICAC 2025
Project 2 · Quantum-enhanced digital twin

Fault Diagnosis & Root Cause

Results
99.57%diagnosis accuracy
vs 99.13% best baseline
0.977F1-score
precision 0.989
4subsystems traced to root cause
matching maintenance records
Project 3 · Autonomous condition monitoring

TurbineCore

Project page
+1.5%energy generated
+215.7 MWh in two months, Penmanshiel
−1.8%O&M cost
Penmanshiel; −0.7% at Hill of Towie
−2.8%15-day failure risk
with availability held
0.93world model R²
vs 0.83–0.85 for persistence

Energy, cost and risk: the autonomous power-limit policy replayed through the world model over recorded operation and compared with what the farm actually did (offline estimate). Decision study

TurbineCore fault diagnosis accuracy, precision, recall and F1 on four wind farms
Featured project

TurbineCore

TurbineCore is an autonomous condition monitoring system. Every day, for every turbine, it reads the machine's own SCADA record, works out how healthy it is, and decides how hard it should be allowed to run, without an engineer in the analysis loop. A world model shared across five wind farms forecasts every channel under a given operator command; on top of it the system detects anomalies, names the faulty component, estimates failure probability over the coming weeks, writes the day up, and learns a power-limit policy that trades energy against failure risk.

Explore TurbineCore Live demo

The demo is password-protected while the related paper is under peer review. Contact us for access.

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Find us at the office

New Engineering Building
Lancaster University, Gillow Ave, Bailrigg
Lancaster LA1 4YW, United Kingdom

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Tel: +44 (0)1524 593700
Mon – Fri, 9:00 – 17:00

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Interested in a PhD, a collaboration or our data and software?

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